The core of the monsoon has shifted to north-west India, east and north-east India along with the land-based trough that serves as the backbone, while rainfall has weakened over peninsular India and may stay as such for the next week or so before a low-pressure area from the Bay of Bengal likely reverses the situation into early August. On Friday morning, interaction of a couple of western disturbances-a cyclonic circulation over Himachal Pradesh and an incoming one from Afghanistan-Pakistan- plus another circulation over Jharkhand with the monsoon trough promise to be the show-stopper across the hills and plains of north-west India to east and north-east India.
India Meteorological Department (IMD) has predicted fairly widespread to widespread light to moderate rainfall over Jammu & Kashmir until Sunday; over Himachal Pradesh and Rajasthan until Monday; and Uttarakhand and Punjab on Saturday and Sunday. Isolated heavy rainfall is forecast over Rajasthan on Saturday.
To the East and South, fairly widespread to widespread light to moderate rainfall, thunderstorms and lightning are likely over Chhattisgarh, Vidarbha and Madhya Pradesh during the next five days. Isolated heavy rainfall is likely over Chhattisgarh and Madhya Pradesh until Monday; and over Vidarbha from Saturday to Monday. Fairly widespread to widespread rainfall is likely over Odisha, Bihar, Jharkhand, West Bengal and Sikkim during the next five days.
Heavy falls for east India
Isolated very heavy rainfall is forecast over Odisha until Sunday while it would be widespread light or moderate rainfall with heavy falls over Arunachal Pradesh, Assam, Meghalaya and Nagaland, Manipur, Mizoram and Tripura during the next five days. Isolated very heavy falls are forecast over over Arunachal Pradesh on Saturday, the IMD said.